Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2842.026185 3070.857122 3302.513796 3554.278416 3819.862417 4091.386158 4389.645752
2025-01-19 2380.047621 2712.171604 3061.143185 3453.950822 3882.575669 4334.903269 4847.121906
2025-01-26 2212.875432 2619.181048 3057.439339 3562.829173 4127.038897 4735.074724 5437.367497
2025-02-02 2067.665269 2527.743218 3035.112364 3632.073890 4311.073121 5055.296054 5928.514751
2025-02-09 1908.406996 2404.172958 2962.160038 3630.761193 4404.069932 5264.441081 6287.932255
2025-02-16 1758.834771 2279.517502 2876.857973 3604.792668 4459.693861 5423.797887 6584.909491
2025-02-23 1664.623071 2212.721491 2852.248905 3643.184826 4584.445580 5658.320907 6965.250843
2025-03-02 1558.941532 2124.849287 2796.244410 3638.603725 4653.915167 5825.168736 7264.823655
2025-03-09 1492.956944 2081.213534 2789.563774 3689.623328 4786.635054 6064.347017 7648.335221
2025-03-16 1393.842411 1990.338951 2720.029387 3659.643208 4818.239482 6181.149317 7885.661002
2025-03-23 1352.822964 1970.808329 2736.711904 3733.784558 4974.886756 6446.600026 8300.196708
2025-03-30 1292.334948 1922.618996 2714.465855 3757.016712 5067.356522 6633.924518 8621.136844
2025-04-06 1225.043406 1863.455468 2677.081523 3760.995882 5137.047125 6796.059701 8915.970644
2025-04-13 1116.589081 1744.138460 2557.618511 3656.424993 5067.753169 6785.904039 8999.887316
2025-04-20 1104.456718 1755.130413 2607.873245 3769.936025 5273.598903 7115.399421 9501.238748
2025-04-27 1077.195864 1743.507281 2626.950155 3842.107272 5426.705112 7380.062112 9924.266070
2025-05-04 1023.917689 1692.746481 2591.435946 3840.739237 5484.213623 7524.745694 10198.804670
2025-05-11 964.770830 1630.800538 2538.266536 3813.674856 5506.664460 7624.134657 10416.320210
2025-05-18 933.061105 1607.008985 2536.030788 3853.686393 5615.807347 7833.047501 10771.693070
2025-05-25 887.958841 1561.422076 2501.791651 3848.912304 5665.067380 7965.234949 11030.539858
2025-06-01 864.654750 1547.204711 2510.560656 3902.077549 5790.641834 8195.340640 11414.337356
2025-06-08 815.637345 1491.851537 2459.173601 3870.837582 5802.570232 8278.430470 11610.887543
2025-06-15 803.079434 1491.784228 2486.307679 3948.089552 5959.839539 8549.957283 12049.353102